Can the Kiwis do it?

I have to admit I didn’t see this one coming and I’m sure I am not the only one.

When I saw the 27/1 on offer at Betfair for a New Zealand win at the end of Day 3, I thought it was a wrong price and had to have a bit of it.

With New Zealand at 331/5, I couldn’t see any value in a win for India, they were around the 5/2 mark which was a joke really. India were never likely to have enough runs to declare, the best chance of an India win would be in them getting bowled out.

That looks more likely now. But a note of caution, with the greatest of respect this is New Zealand, if any side are capable of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory it is the Kiwis.

New Zealand will most probably need to bowl India out by lunch, even then they should be looking at 200 to win. Then it’s game on, would New Zealand be able to hold their nerve and pull off the most unlikely of wins?

At odds of 2.44 (just under 6/4), I don’t see value in a Kiwi win now, quite a difference from 27/1. The draw is 2.46 and an Indian victory is just over 4/1. Wouldn’t like to call this one now, it should be a great finish.